Archive for 一月, 2011

Mainland banks rush to raise funds

Mainland banks rush to raise funds

Moves come amid expectations of stricter capital rules

Mainland lenders are scrambling to raise money as regulators tighten capital requirements in a bid to protect banks against systemic risk and curb liquidity.

China Minsheng Banking Corp Ltd, the nation’s first non-state lender, plans to sell up to 4.7 billion A-shares to raise about 21.5 billion yuan through a private placement. The move is subject to approval by shareholders and the China Banking Regulatory Commission (CBRC), the lender told the Hong Kong stock exchange Friday.

According to a research report by Goldman Sachs, the core capital adequacy ratio of the seventh-largest lender on the mainland was 8.1 percent in 2010, falling behind the 9.9 percent average for other Hong Kong-listed mainland banks.

In December 2010, China Minsheng said it had secured approval from the CBRC to issue up to 10 billion yuan in subordinated bonds. The bank had issued 5.8 billion yuan in subordinated bonds in June.

Also this week, Agricultural Bank of China Ltd (ABC), the nation’s third-largest lender by assets which raised $22.1 billion in its dual initial public offering (IPO) last year, said Thursday that it is seeking approval from shareholders to issue 50 billion yuan in subordinated bonds during the next two years.

It follows Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC)’s rights issue in Shanghai and Hong Kong, which raised HK$13.04 billion from the Hong Kong portion of its rights issue in December and 33.67 billion yuan in the Shanghai market in November.

Another dually-listed big mainland bank, Bank of China Ltd (BOC), raised HK$20.83 billion in Hong Kong in December and 41.8 billion yuan in Shanghai in November. Meanwhile, China Construction Bank Corp (CCB) sold HK$68.9 billion and 2.24 billion yuan worth of new shares in Hong Kong in December and Shanghai in November, respectively.

Bank of Communications Ltd, the fifth-largest bank in China by assets, also raised HK$17.78 billion from its rights issue in Hong Kong last July, and another 17.1 billion yuan via its A-share rights issue in late June.

“Mainland lenders are rushing to plug the shortfall in their capital as the authorities are now taking very stringent measures in strengthening control over credit,” said Paul Lee, an analyst with Taifook Securities. “Small banks and those with inadequate capital will have to take action early to avoid having their businesses affected by the regulations.”

The People’s Bank of China will also check credit and capital levels of commercial banks each month to determine the reserve requirements for individual lenders, the China Securities Journal said Wednesday citing anonymous sources.

It added that the differentiated reserve requirements will be calculated by multiplying the capital-adequacy shortfall with a stability parameter. Banks that fail to meet such criteria will be ordered to adjust their credit immediately.

According to the report, banks may have to set aside more reserves if their capital-adequacy ratios cannot meet the government-set standards.

“This new system of credit control should allow the central bank and the banking regulator to respond to price pressures in a faster and more hawkish manner,” Qu Hongbin, co-head of Asian Economics Research at HSBC wrote in an email report.

“Alternatively, the well-behaved banks are likely to be granted more favorable terms in setting prices for some products,” Qu added.

In the first 11 months of 2010, new yuan-denominated loans in China exceeded 99 percent of the government-set 7.5 trillion yuan limit for the year, China Daily reported last month. Analysts predicted that loans for the year would reach 8 trillion yuan.

China Daily

(HK Edition 01/08/2011 page2)

http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/hkedition/2011-01/08/content_11811909.htm

‘Hong Kong City’ on the mainland to be revived?

“Hong Kong City” themed marketplaces that sell only local products could be revived on the mainland if the relevant Hong Kong authorities get involved, a report says.

The report, released in December, recommends that the government work with mainland authorities to establish more “Hong Kong City” markets to promote the city’s brand.

The report – “Road for Hong Kong into the mainland market” – was penned by scholars from Sun Yat-sen University in Guangzhou and local political party the Democratic Alliance for the Betterment and Progress of Hong Kong (DAB). They argue that although Hong Kong products enjoy a high degree of popularity among mainlanders, it is nevertheless inconvenient for most consumers to come to the city for shopping on a regular basis. However, well organized “Hong Kong City” marketplaces will not only bring economic benefits but also help promote the city’s brands in the mainland market.

The research group commissioned by the university and the DAB carried out a survey in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Xi’an, Wuhan and Chengdu recently, which showed that 68 percent of the respondents said they had bought Hong Kong-made goods in the past year while 54 percent said they did so within the past six months.

Most respondents said they like Hong Kong products due to their high quality, fashionable design, and – more importantly – the safety of the products.

But among the more than 1,000 local brands which touch on the service, manufacturing, and traditional industries, only seven major local brands including jewelry maker Chow Tai Fook and retailing chains Watson are known to more than half of those surveyed.

However, as most of the city’s thousands of local firms are boutique companies with limited brand influence, Wong Ting-kwong, a member of Hong Kong’s Legislative Council (LegCo), believes that themed marketplaces could help them strengthen their influence in the mainland market since consumers trust the “made in Hong Kong” mark.

Wong, who represents the import and export industry in a functional constituency seat in the LegCo, warned that one of the downfalls of “Hong Kong City” in its previous incarnation was that it sold inferior products. “It was disappointing and hurt the equity of the city’s brands,” he said.

The first “Hong Kong City” was opened in Guangzhou in 2004 under the Mainland-Hong Kong Closer Economic Partnership Arrangement (CEPA). It allowed products of Hong Kong origin to enter the mainland tariff free.

However, despite a promising start, sales began to nosedive after many shoddy goods were discovered in the market. It eventually ceased operations in 2006 when some local businessmen decided to cut their losses and run, in many cases not getting their rent deposits back.

Wong said he believed a lack of adequate supervision killed what could have been a good business model. However, joint cooperation between governments on both sides would ensure the healthy and orderly development of “Hong Kong City”, he added.

“Since the Hong Kong government is dedicated to promoting the city’s brands on the mainland, they should help promote it,” Wong said. “The building up of a Hong Kong-themed marketplace involves huge investment which individual investors may not be able to afford.”

Meanwhile, Ann Chiang, DAB vice chairman of commerce and industry, says that permanently established “Hong Kong City” marketplaces will build publicity for the city as well as meet the growing demand of mainland consumers for Hong Kong products.

“Though Hong Kong-made goods mainly target the middle class and higher income earners on the mainland, the increase in the number of wealthy individuals with enhanced buying power has helped offset the disadvantage of Hong Kong’s small retail market,” Chiang said.

Chen Guanghan, director of economics at the Center for Studies of Hong Kong, Macao, and the Pearl River Delta, Sun Yat-sen University, agrees that Hong Kong brands are naturally popular among mainlanders because they are both Chinese and Western in terms of style and characteristics. They are also usually reasonably priced compared with luxury brands.

Chen said that maintaining high product quality is imperative if Hong Kong-made goods are to remain popular on the mainland. Thus figuring out effective approaches when counterfeit goods still run rampant in many parts of the mainland, should be a key priority, he added.

The research report recommends that one step forward would be for mainland authorities to tighten the requirements for goods sold in “Hong Kong City” and strengthen supervision of marketplace operations. They should also frequently conduct random quality checks on goods sold there and impose heavy fines on any offenders.

The report adds that Hong Kong authorities should also assume responsibility for quality certification of Hong Kong-made products.

“Maybe the Hong Kong Trade Development Council (HKTDC) is in the position to do the authentication job,” said Wong, adding that with enough regulatory assurance and supervision, mainland customers would not have to worry about the quality of goods.

However, Pansy Yau, deputy chief economist at the HKTDC, said that although the “Hong Kong City” idea is interesting, it is easier said than done.

“This is not the typical approach the Hong Kong government would adopt to help promote local brands,” she said. “And moreover, government involvement is not the only factor that would ensure its smooth operation.”

“A lot of unexpected issues could pop up from this concept that would be unable to be solved by us – such as disputes over intellectual property. I am not really a fan of this idea and I don’t think it will be achieved in the near term,” she added.

The HKTDC organizes trade fairs every year matching local companies with business opportunities on the mainland.

'Hong Kong City' on the mainland to be revived?

China Daily

(HK Edition 01/07/2011 page3)

http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/hkedition/2011-01/07/content_11805502.htm

Dec PMI reaches eight-month high

Index points to17th consecutive month of expansion as orders rise

Supported by a sharp rise in new orders, the city’s Purchasing Manager’s Index (PMI) rose to an eight-month high of 55 in December, an HSBC survey showed.

The PMI climbed up 1.5 points from 53.5.

A reading above 50 indicates expansion, while that below 50 signals contraction. The latest figures represent the 17th consecutive month that expansion has been seen in Hong Kong’s private sector economy.

The index is a measure of manufacturing activity, based on five sub-indices: output, new orders, employment, suppliers’ delivery times and stocks of goods purchased.

December PMI data signaled a marked improvement of business conditions in the Hong Kong economy, according to the report. It added that new orders in December surged to 58.7 from November’s 55.0, an 11-month high, supporting a marked increase in output.

“The momentum of Hong Kong’s economy is showing no signs of easing as 2010 draws to a close. Both internal and external demands are holding up strongly, leading to further tightening capacity constraints,” said HSBC Hong Kong Chief Executive Mark McCombe.

The backlog of work accumulated at an even quicker pace of 56.4 versus 54.9 previously – the fastest pace in 11 months – suggesting that operating capacity continued to be strained by rising new order volumes, according to the report.

Expansion in new business received from the mainland, although it remained marginally stronger than the long-run average, slowed from its November pace when it hit a five-month high. December’s figure stood at 53.7 compared with the previous 56.0.

The official mainland PMI number edged down to 53.9 in December from November’s 55.2, reports said Monday. The index has remained above 50 for 22 consecutive months since March 2009 and the December data reflects the first decrease after increases in the previous four months.

McCombe added that since inflationary pressures are emerging in Hong Kong, this issue should be monitored closely in 2011.

“Hong Kong’s economy outperformed itself in the second half of 2010, making up for the soft patch encountered mid-year. But there’s a price for success, and for Hong Kong, it comes in the form of inflation,” said Donna Kwok, Greater China economist at HSBC.

“Hong Kong inflation tends to lag that of the mainland by a few months, and given the sharp spikes in mainland prices recently, stronger CPI numbers should be arriving soon – especially if demand stays just as strong and capacity constraints just as tight,” Kwok added.

Due to further escalation in private housing rentals and food prices, the city’s overall consumer prices, a gauge of inflation, hit a 20-month high in November, up 2.9 percent from a year earlier.

“Trade outlook is overshadowed by the fast cooling demand in the advanced economies, but the Hong Kong economy as a whole should be supported by the domestic sector,” Hang Seng Bank forecast in a report released this week on the city’s 2011 economic performance.

The bank added that price pressures are rising as a result of higher global food and oil prices and the recent weakness of the Hong Kong dollar. It projected Hong Kong’s inflation to climb to 3.7 percent in 2011, from an estimated 2.5 percent last year.

China Daily

(HK Edition 01/07/2011 page2)

http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/hkedition/2011-01/07/content_11805499.htm

HKU lifts Q4 economic growth forecast to 5.2%

Economists at the University of Hong Kong (HKU) have raised their fourth-quarter growth estimate for the local economy to 5.2 percent from 4.8 percent previously, citing stronger growth in private consumption.

The adjustment was in contrast to its previous projection on October 6, which estimated that the city’s gross domestic production (GDP) growth for the final quarter last year will rise 4.8 percent from a year earlier.

Both projections were made in the quarterly Hong Kong Macroeconomic Forecast released by the APEC Studies Programme at the Hong Kong Institute of Economics and Business Strategy at the university.

“In the third quarter of last year, Hong Kong’s economy had fully recovered from the setback caused by the turmoil in the global financial market triggered by the sub-prime mortgage crisis more than two years ago,” Richard Wong, professor of economics at the HKU said Wednesday.

Correspondingly, GDP growth for the second half of last year has been adjusted to 6.0 percent from the previously estimated 5.3 percent, while the full-year projection has been lifted to 6.6 percent from 6.2 percent.

The growth is driven primarily by domestic demand, according to Wong, who added the increase in domestic demand is estimated to account for 5.5 percentage points of the 6.6 percent overall increase, with external demand accounting for the rest of the growth.

HKU lifts Q4 economic growth forecast to 5.2%

According to the HKU forecast, the city’s private consumption spending grew by 5.7 percent in the third quarter last year compared with a 4.4 percent growth in the previous quarter, due to a stable job market and rising asset prices.

“The job market will continue to improve with the unemployment rate projected to fall from 4.2 percent in the third quarter of 2010 to 4.0 percent in the fourth quarter,” said Alan Siu, executive director of the Hong Kong Institution of Economics and Business Strategy at the HKU.

“The headline inflation is forecast to increase by 2.6 percent in the second half of last year, up from the 2.2 percent increase in the first half. Stripping out fiscal measures, the underlying inflation rate is estimated to be 2.1 percent in the second half of 2010 compared with 1.1 percent in the first half,” said Siu.

Falling real wages, nevertheless, are expected to dampen consumption growth. Growth is estimated to rise by 4.7 percent in the fourth quarter and moderate further to 4.3 percent in the first quarter of this year, the HKU report added.

Wong indicated that economic growth for the first quarter of 2011 is expected to moderate to 4.4 percent compared with the same period last year, due to a less supportive external environment.

Paul Tang, chief economist from Bank of East Asia (BEA), said other than strong domestic consumption, the rebound in exports as well as a buoyant property market also supported the city’s economic growth at a faster-than-expected pace in 2010.

Tang told China Daily that BEA is maintaining its 4.5 percent and 6.5 percent GDP growth projections for the fourth quarter and full-year 2010 respectively. Economic growth for 2011, according to Tang, is likely to wind up at around 5 percent.

In November, Hong Kong government raised its full-year GDP growth forecast to 6.5 percent from 5-6 percent after the city reported a better-than-expected 6.8 percent rise in the third quarter on the back of strong exports and consumption figures.

China Daily

(HK Edition 01/06/2011 page2)

http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/hkedition/2011-01/06/content_11800400.htm

BYD fails to meet 2010 sales target, report says

BYD fails to meet 2010 sales target, report says

A worker polishes the emblem on a BYD vehicle at a December car show. Due to the latest sales figures, investors have been dumping its shares. Qilai Shen / Bloomberg

Shenzhen-based carmaker BYD Co sold a total of 519,806 vehicles last year, falling short of its revised target of 600,000 units for 2010, according to a Reuters report.

Top executives of the carmaker were not able to be reached for comment on the reported figures Tuesday.

The latest reported sales figures have clouded the prospects of the once promising automaker. Due to disappointment on its weak sales, investors have been dumping the shares of BYD, sending the stock down 40 percent over the past year, making it one of the worst performers in the city’s bourse.

However, shares in the company rebounded 5.67 percent to close at HK$42.90 in Hong Kong trading Tuesday.

In August, the company cut its full-year sales target by 25 percent from 800,000. As a result of weak sales, its net profit in the third quarter plummeted 99 percent to 11.34 million yuan from 1.16 billion a year ago.

“BYD’s best-selling F3 model failed to be included in the government’s subsidy catalog early enough last year,” said George Yin, Beijing-based analyst at Bocom International Holdings. “As a result, the model lost out on price competitiveness compared with rival cars. This is one of the key reasons that stymied BYD’s car sales growth in 2010.”

Mainland authorities launched a subsidy program for energy-efficient vehicles in July 2010, which granted buyers of vehicles with engines smaller than 1.6 liters a one-off 3,000 yuan subsidy. BYD’s F3, the hottest selling sedan in China in 2009, was not included in the list until October 2010.

Zhang Yang, an analyst at SWS Research, said BYD’s current sales mainly came from two low-end models, the F0 and F3, while the sales performance of its upgraded models, such as the G3, L3 and F6, remains poor.

“We maintain our view that a significant increase in demand for new energy (electric) vehicles from the private sector is unlikely and that BYD’s new energy vehicles, the F3DM and E6, will not deliver any financial benefits in the near-term,” Zhang wrote in a report on December 14, 2010.

Bocom’s Yin nevertheless expects BYD’s car sales to grow at a higher-than-average rate in 2011.

“But it is hard to expect another stellar performance for its popular models such as F3 in the future as experience shows that after a model has been on the market for about five years, sales will generally start hitting the skids,” Yin added.

He projected that BYD’s auto sales will grow about 15 to 20 percent this year compared with 2010.

China Daily

(HK Edition 01/05/2011 page3)

http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/hkedition/2011-01/05/content_11794685.htm

Hutchison Whampoa accumulates more stakes in container terminals

Hutchison Whampoa accumulates more stakes in container terminals

Workers load a container ship at a port in the city. Hutchison Whampoa Ltd said Monday it has raised its stakes in Hongkong International Terminals Ltd and acquired interests in some properties located in Kwun Tong. Thomas Lee / Bloomberg

Hutchison Whampoa accumulates more stakes in container terminals

Conglomerate buys interests from China Resources Hldgs for HK$5.7b

Hutchison Whampoa Ltd, the conglomerate controlled by billionaire Li Ka-shing, said Monday it has raised its stakes in some container terminals by acquiring additional interests from partner China Resources (Holdings) Co Ltd for HK$5.7 billion.

The deal includes acquisition of shares in Hongkong International Terminals Ltd (HIT) and interests in properties located in Kwun Tong in east Kowloon, Hutchison said in a statement filed to the stock exchange Monday.

HIT is the flagship operation of Hutchison Port Holdings (HPH) Group, the conglomerate’s port operation unit.

HIT operates 12 berths on its own and another two through its joint venture with COSCO Pacific Limited in the Kwai Chung container port area of Hong Kong, one of the busiest container ports in the world.

Before the deal, Hutchison held about 53 percent of HIT. It did not provide further details on the company’s holdings in the acquired assets after the deal.

The purchase will be settled in cash and is expected to be completed before January 7, according to the company.

In 2005, Hutchison sold a 20 percent stake in HIT to Singaporean investment holding company PortCapital Ltd, booking a gain of HK$5.5 billion from the sale.

“Since the market is bullish on shipping business in 2011 counting on the US economic rebound, Hutchison has accelerated the pace in the acquisition of port assets,” said Alvin Chung, associate director with Prudential Brokerage.

The rebound in global trade has boosted the container-freight fees which helped most shipping companies return to the black in 2010.

Hutchison Port Holdings, the conglomerate’s port division, in August said its earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) rose 35 percent in the first half of 2010 from a year ago as its container throughput increased 17 percent to 35.3 million twenty-foot equivalent units (TEUs).

Hong Kong’s total exports rose by 23.8 percent for the first 11 months of 2010 compared with the same period a year earlier while total imports increased by 26.1 percent, according to data provided by the Census and Statistics Department.

According to a report prepared by IHS Global Insight, trade will continue to grow in 2011 albeit at a slower pace compared with 2010. It projected that global containerized trade measured in TEUs will grow at 6.8 percent this year from 9.2 percent growth in 2010.

“Hutchison has been very active in seeking investment opportunities,” said Chung. “Particularly at a time when Asian markets expect strong export growth in 2011 as demand from the US is likely to be further driven by US government measures in stimulating the economy, Hutchison will not let this opportunity slip away.”

Shares of Hutchison climbed 5.3 percent to close at HK$84.20 in Hong Kong trading Monday, compared with a 1.74 percent gain in the city’s benchmark Hang Seng Index. The stock surged almost 50 percent last year.

China Daily

(HK Edition 01/04/2011 page2)

http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/hkedition/2011-01/04/content_11788481.htm